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Methodology

How we predict when streamers go live

Where every predicted stream on Streamer Times comes from, and what the HIGH, MEDIUM and LOW badges mean.

Last updated: August 27, 2026

Most streamers don’t publish a schedule, and the ones that do don’t always keep it. Streamer Times still shows you a TV guide for the coming days, because we predict it.

Streamer Times predicts when a Twitch or YouTube streamer will go live from three sources: the channel’s broadcast history, its announced schedule, and what the streamer said on their last stream. Every predicted stream carries a HIGH, MEDIUM or LOW confidence badge that tells you how much evidence sits behind the time. This page explains how it works, in plain language.

The three sources every prediction is built from

1

Broadcast history

What the channel has actually streamed in recent weeks: on which weekdays, at what time of day, for how long, and how often. This is the backbone of every prediction.

2

Announced schedules

The streamer’s own Twitch schedule and scheduled YouTube broadcasts, weighted by how reliably that streamer has kept them in the past. Changes to the schedule are picked up automatically.

3

What the streamer said

Where captions are available, announcements the streamer made on their last stream: “see you Thursday”, “no stream tomorrow”, “taking a week off”. Only their own words. The quote behind a prediction is shown in its “Why this prediction” box.

How the sources become a prediction

We look at all of it together: how the channel has streamed so far, what the streamer has announced, and what they said on their last stream. Out of that comes a lineup for the coming days. If there is too little to go on, we would rather show nothing than guess.

An AI writer then turns those facts into the short title and description on each card, in the streamer’s own language. It cannot move a time or change a badge.

What the HIGH, MEDIUM and LOW confidence badges mean

Every predicted stream has one of three badges. They describe how much evidence sits behind the time, not how good the streamer is. A prediction counts as a hit when the stream starts within two hours of the predicted time.

HIGH

Plan your evening around it.

HIGH means the evidence is strong: a streamer with a routine you can set your watch by, a published schedule they actually stick to, or a promise made on stream such as “see you Thursday”. It is our most dependable call. About three out of four HIGH predictions start within two hours of the predicted time.

MEDIUM

A good bet worth keeping an eye on.

MEDIUM means the pattern is real but one thing is still open: a familiar streaming day with a start time that moves around, a schedule the streamer mostly keeps, or a hint on stream rather than a promise. Roughly every second MEDIUM prediction lands within two hours of the predicted time, so set an alert and let the app do the watching.

LOW

Possible, not promised.

LOW means we simply don’t know much yet: an unusual day for this channel, a streamer we are still getting to know, or one who has gone quiet for a while. About one in three LOW predictions comes true. Treat it as a heads up, not a verdict. It says more about how much we know than about the streamer.

Prediction check: the last 7 days

  • HIGH75 %714 of 948 predictions hit the window
  • MEDIUM55 %806 of 1,461 predictions hit the window
  • LOW27 %336 of 1,254 predictions hit the window

Counted the way we grade ourselves: a hit is a stream that started within two hours of the predicted time. Updated hourly.

The other badges you’ll see

NEW and UNCERTAIN appear in the app and in the Program view once you are signed in; the public website shows the confidence badge and “no stream expected” entries.

How we measure prediction accuracy

Every prediction is scored against what actually happened, and the scores are public: the “Prediction check” on our home page and the figures above come straight from them. A hit is a stream that started within two hours of the predicted time. A stream that never came is a miss. “No stream expected” entries are scored the other way round. The scores feed back into the badges.

What we can’t predict

A prediction is an expectation with good evidence behind it, never a guarantee. Spontaneous streams, sudden cancellations and platform outages are exactly what no history can foresee. Two limits worth knowing:

For streamers: how to get better predictions for your channel

The system rewards exactly what viewers appreciate anyway:

See who does this best on the most punctual streamers ranking.

Frequently asked questions

What does a HIGH confidence badge mean?

HIGH means strong, recent evidence: a streamer with a routine you can set your watch by, a schedule they stick to, or a promise made on stream. About three out of four HIGH predictions start within two hours of the predicted time.

Does LOW confidence mean the streamer is unreliable?

No. LOW means we have little evidence for that particular day, such as an unusual weekday, a short history or a recent quiet spell. It says nothing about the streamer’s reliability.

Why did a prediction change or disappear?

Predictions are recomputed after every stream and whenever the schedule changes, and each run replaces the last. A prediction also disappears when the real stream starts or the streamer announces a break.

Why is there no prediction for a streamer I follow?

The channel has been quiet for a while, has very little history, streams at times too scattered to call, or announced a break. We would rather show nothing than guess. Live status and the alerts in the app work regardless.

How much of this is AI?

AI reads the announcements a streamer made on stream and writes the text on each card. The timing, the confidence and the decision whether to predict at all follow fixed rules, applied the same way to every channel.

Can I get notified when a predicted stream actually starts?

Yes. The Streamer Times app alerts you the moment a favourite channel starts streaming, so a prediction only ever has to get you close.

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